TRX Price Prediction: Key Factors to Watch in 2025

#TRX

• TRX is trading below its 20-day MA but shows bullish MACD signals.
• Whale accumulation and USDT minting may provide liquidity support.
• Key support at 0.261849 must hold to prevent further downside.

TRX Price Prediction

TRX Technical Analysis: Key Indicators to Watch

According to BTCC financial analyst Olivia, TRX is currently trading at 0.26830000 USDT, below its 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.275850. The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover with the MACD line at 0.005694 above the signal line at 0.000876, suggesting potential upward momentum. Bollinger Bands indicate the price is NEAR the lower band at 0.261849, which could act as a support level. Olivia notes that if TRX holds above this support, a rebound towards the middle band at 0.275850 is likely.

TRX Market Sentiment: Whales Accumulate Amid Network Activity Drop

BTCC financial analyst Olivia highlights mixed sentiment in TRX markets. While TRON network activity has declined, whale accumulation and Tether's $2 billion USDT minting on the Tron network signal liquidity preparations. Olivia suggests that bulls must defend key support levels to prevent further downside amid current volatility.

Factors Influencing TRX’s Price

TRON Network Activity Collapses as Whales Accumulate TRX

TRON's network usage plummeted in June 2025, with daily transactions crashing 61% from 9 million to 3.5 million. The sharp decline suggests structural shifts—possibly bandwidth rule changes, app migrations, or user flight to rivals like Base or BSC—rather than mere bot traffic fluctuations.

Despite the collapse, TRX price held remarkably steady at $0.2676, down just 1.9%. Whale holdings grew 9.36% over 30 days, with investor positions surging 41.82%, while retail participation inched up only 3.79%. This accumulation pattern often precedes major price movements.

Negative funding rates and rising social buzz contrast with the stagnant price action. The coordinated silence around TRON's ecosystem changes could redefine its long-term positioning in the competitive LAYER 1 landscape.

Tether Mints $2 Billion in USDT on Tron Network Amid Liquidity Preparations

Tether has authorized the creation of $2 billion in new USDT tokens on the Tron blockchain, executed in two $1 billion batches. Chief Executive Paolo Ardoino clarified these reserves are "authorized but not issued," earmarked for future redemptions or cross-chain transfers. The move follows a similar $1 billion mint on ethereum ahead of the Federal Reserve's June FOMC meeting.

Market analysts interpret Tether's pattern of preemptive stablecoin issuance as preparation for anticipated liquidity surges. Blockchain analytics firm Lookonchain notes the company is stockpiling USDT without immediate circulation—a strategic reserve against volatile market conditions. Stablecoins like USDT serve as critical liquidity conduits during trading volume spikes or investor activity surges.

Crypto commentator Lark Davis likened the minting to "dry powder" accumulation, suggesting institutional expectations of shifting market dynamics. Tether's actions historically correlate with major capital movements across exchanges, though no direct exchange involvement was cited in this issuance.

TRON Bulls Must Defend Key Support Level Amid Market Volatility

TRON (TRX) has demonstrated relative stability compared to other altcoins during recent market turbulence, declining just 2.87% over 24 hours while Bitcoin fell 3.68% and Ethereum plunged 9.22%. The token's low +0.32 correlation with Bitcoin has helped insulate it from broader market FUD driven by geopolitical tensions and inflation fears.

Technical analysis reveals TRX trading in a tight range between $0.263 and $0.294, with bulls currently testing the range low. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.27, drawn from TRON's November-December 2025 rally, serves as critical support. A failure to hold this level could signal further downside, while successful defense may set the stage for a bullish reversal.

Market watchers note TRX's unusual resilience despite flaring Middle East tensions and U.S. market interventions that have crushed more correlated assets. The token's on-chain activity and exchange flows suggest accumulation at current levels, though volatility remains a concern for short-term traders.

Is TRX a good investment?

According to BTCC analyst Olivia, TRX presents a mixed investment outlook. Technical indicators show potential for upward movement, but market sentiment remains cautious due to network activity declines and volatility. Key factors to consider include:

Olivia advises monitoring these levels closely before making investment decisions.